Read the full transcript of our weekly Blues chat.
Matthew DeFranks: Good afternoon. The Blues prospect tournament is in two days. Training camp is in a week. Let's get to your questions.
tylerg: I want to thank you for your recent articles leading up to camp, Matty D! I know this time of the year isn’t the easiest for hockey reporting and all of us see you and thank you for the work you’re putting in. Anyway, obviously there are a lot of contributing factors but, just for fun, please rank the following statistical achievements from most likely to happen to least likely to happen this upcoming season in your opinion: 1.) Thomas cracks 90+ points 2.) Mailloux cracks 40+ points 3.) Holloway hits 35+ goals 4.) Snuggerud hits 25+ goals 5.) Binnington ends the year with a save % of .910 or better…thanks again for doing this my man!
Matthew DeFranks: I'm going to say ...
1. Binnington ends the year .910 or better
Of the things on this list, that one has actually occurred already. He's done it four times in his career, and most recently in 2023-24. The league average was .893 last year, so this would mean he's comfortably above average, which I believe is still possible.
2. Thomas cracks 90+ points
Across the last four seasons, per 82 games, Thomas is averaging 85 points. So he's not that far off and that's a big sample size. Last year was his biggest offensive step forward, particularly down the stretch, and he would have hit 90 if he stayed healthy the entire season.
He scored 26 last year, and that was with a pretty slow start and an injury at the end of the year. He could have season-long chemistry with Schenn and Kyrou, depending on what the Blues want to do in their top-six. And he'll have the power-play time and confidence to think he can at least hit that mark. Likely? No, but on this list more likely than others.
In that last four seasons (all 82 games), there have been 17 players aged 21 or younger to score 25 goals. It's a list that includes Cooley, Fantilli, Boldy that made the jump from college, but not always producing in their rookie seasons. So I think Snuggerud's contemporaries are not far from that group of players.
5. Mailloux posts 40+ points
Meanwhile, in the last four seasons, there have been 15 defensemen aged 22 or younger to have 40 points. And I'm not sure Mailloux fits into that group as cleanly as Snuggerud does his. It includes Luke and Quinn Hughes, Lane Hutson, Owen Power, Moritz Seider, Rasmus Dahlin.
Plus, I think he'll be protected on the third pair and his power play usage may or may not come along this season. We'll have to see what offensive role he gets.
Easy Ed, fan since 1967.: Hey Matt, hope you and your family are well. Looking at the third-line wing, besides the vet signings, which prospect is most likely to come out of camp with a job? Also, how good does Dvorsky have to be in camp to have a chance? Mark it: Maileaux will be all the Blues hope by mid-year or so and the Blues make the playoffs (not especially as risky as that same prediction I made early last year!). Also, how can we watch the Blues in the prospects tourny? Is there any way to record it or watch it later? Fanatic minds want to know. Thanks.
Matthew DeFranks: I think Dvorsky will have the best chance of the prospects, followed by grinder-style, energy guys like Kaskimaki, Robertsson (if healthy) or Peterson. Then I think Pekarcik has an outside chance if he's able to flash enough skill consistently in camp.
For Dvorsky, I think it's about consistently impacting games, and showing that he can keep up with the NHL pace. He's going to have to steal a roster spot from guys like Texier or Joseph, and a lineup spot from a guy like Sundqvist. So it's doable, but he needs to show he's the better option.
As far as the prospect tournament, it will be streamed on the Blues website and through their app. Not sure about any recording options.
rabidmonkeyfish99: Are there any fast skating Blues Dman prospects on the horizon? Being able to add another speedy and bigger than average dman to Broberg and Fowler (to a lesser degree) would make this a pretty mobile unit, which is great as long as size isnt compromised (no more Perunivichs).
Matthew DeFranks: There's a little bit of everything in the Blues defensive pipeline right now. But it terms of skating, I think Theo Lindstein is the smoothest mover on the back end as it is. Not super fast, but really poised and mobile.
The Blues really like the way Colin Ralph moves as well, particularly for a big man. They've comped him to a left-handed Colton Parayko before.
OneNationSTL: My co worker dared me to ask if you could give her a shoutout - Can you please? Kim Triplett and Let's go Blues!!!
Matthew DeFranks: Kim, I don't know who you are, but OneNationSTL wants you to be recognized.
Barry-Blues Fan in Orlando: Happy Wednesday to you Matt and all the chatters out there. I noticed D-man prospect Colin Ralph won't be in the Kurvers Prospect Showcase or the Blues training camp.....what gives? Is he injured or just a "not ready for prime time" prospect?
Matthew DeFranks: He's in college, and college players don't participate in these showcases because they're already in school.
Easy Ed, fan since 1967.: Thanks. Matt, are you going up to report on the prospects tourny? If so, will you file daily reports or a summary at some point? Which Blue(s) will you be particularly interested in? Why?
Matthew DeFranks: Yes, I will be going up there. We'll have a few items after each game, and we'll see how they unfold to see who I'm writing about.
I want to see Lindstein on the smaller ice, and I want to see the feistiness that Dvorsky and/or Carbonneau bring. Honestly, any of the five first-rounders will draw the attention.
Barry-Blues Fan in Orlando: Thanks Matt. What is your opinion of the "young Squire" Ralph? Maybe a Blues blueliner in 2-4 years?
I would love to see the name RALPH on the back of a blues jersey someday, it was my dad's first name.
Matthew DeFranks: I think that's a fair timeline. I haven't watched a ton of game footage of him, so hard to say outside what I've seen at development camps. And there, he's physical, moves well and defends hard.
Barry-Blues Fan in Orlando: I read a few weeks ago "Snuggy" commented he picked up 12-14 lbs of muscle from his summer training. It will be interesting to see if he looks bigger or it relates to him winning more puck battles.
Matthew DeFranks: Sure can't hurt, right? I think that may show more in the regular season than in training camp.
Barry-Blues Fan in Orlando: Matt and chatters: What is your most bold prediction for the upcoming season?
Matthew DeFranks: I'm not in the business of bold predictions because they're always wrong.
Easy Ed, fan since 1967.: Matt, will pre-season scrimmages and practices be open to fans this year?
Matthew DeFranks: Yes. Sessions at Centene will be open to the public.
This is the schedule for the first three days
Thursday, September 18 & Friday, September 19
9:30 a.m. (Group A – NHL Rink, Group B – USA Rink)
10:15 a.m. (Scrimmage – NHL Rink)
6 p.m. – Blues at Stars
Zoogie: What chances do you give Nikta Alexandrov making the big club? I really like his game. I'm afraid he might be a potential top six player somewhere. He needs to play with skilled pkayers!
Matthew DeFranks: If he does make it, it'll be either as an extra forward or in the bottom six. I don't see him moving up to play in the top six despite his AHL production.
I also think that if he doesn't make the NHL roster, he could be one of the first recalls from Springfield.
Matt L: Is Snuggerud really ready for first line minutes over the course of a whole season? I know that's where he played last year, but that was a small sample. An NHL schedule is much more taxing than college, and asking him to play first line volume and quality for 82 seems like a stretch.
Matthew DeFranks: It is a big ask, and I think there will be times this season when the Blues move him off the top line when he runs into the proverbial rookie wall. As you mentioned, playing 40 games in college with a lenient schedule of two or three games a week is far different than the grind of the NHL.
But they've got to try, right? And they always have the Neighbours-Thomas-Buchnevich line they can go back to if they need to.
Matt L: Were there any changes to the coaching staff that flew under the radar this offseason?
Matthew DeFranks: Not that I know of, but I wonder what kind of changes or added emphasis is placed on both the penalty kill, which was bad for most of the season, and the 5v6 situations, of course. We don't need a refresher on that one.
Matt L: Are their any officiating "points of emphasis" this year?
Matthew DeFranks: I don't know, but will ask when camp starts.
OneNationSTL: My coworker loved the shout out. Thanks!! Can I ask what are you most looking forward to this Blues season? For me, it is the excitement that we are building and unfisnished business from that round 1 exit.
Matthew DeFranks: Seeing what the Blues look like for a full season under Jim Montgomery. He changed the way that they played after he took over, and while I don't expect the same run they went on after 4 Nations, I think they'll have similar qualities of being tight defensively and balanced offensively.
OneNationSTL: All quiet now. Thank you again for your chats. We do appreciate them and the way you present the info to us!!
Matthew DeFranks: You're welcome! Thanks for stopping in.